Yemen’s status as a failed or fragile state stems from a complex history of political fragmentation, external interference, resource scarcity, and socio-economic challenges. While Yemen’s current crisis is rooted in recent conflicts, the underlying causes trace back over a century.

North-South Divide:

Yemen was historically divided into two separate entities:

North Yemen: Dominated by tribal confederations and ruled by Imams under a Zaidi Shia theocracy until 1962.

South Yemen: Colonized by the British in the mid-19th century, later becoming a Marxist state after independence in 1967.

Colonial Era:

The Ottoman Empire controlled parts of Yemen until its collapse in 1918, followed by British colonial rule in Aden (South Yemen).

During the Cold War, North Yemen was backed by Saudi Arabia and the West, while South Yemen aligned with the Soviet Union.

Proxy conflicts between these two spheres of influence further destabilized the region.

Yemen has been a battleground for Saudi-Iranian competition, with both powers funding and arming opposing factions (e.g., Saudi Arabia supports the Yemeni government, while Iran backs the Houthi movement).

The unification of North and South Yemen created a fragile state with deep political and cultural divisions.

Disputes over power-sharing led to a civil war in 1994, exacerbating distrust between northern and southern factions.

Saleh, who ruled Yemen from 1978 to 2012, relied on patronage networks, corruption, and alliances with tribal leaders to maintain power.

Yemen has limited natural resources compared to its Gulf neighbors, with declining oil reserves and chronic water shortages.

Agriculture, the backbone of the economy, has been hindered by droughts, mismanagement, and over-reliance on qat (a water-intensive cash crop chewed for its stimulant effects).

Yemen is one of the poorest countries in the Arab world, with high unemployment and limited access to education and healthcare.

Sunni Muslims (mostly Shafi’i) dominate southern and coastal areas, while Zaidi Shia Muslims are concentrated in the north.

Though Yemenis share a long history of coexistence, sectarian divisions have been exacerbated by regional power struggles and the rise of extremist groups.

Houthi Insurgency:

The Houthi movement, a Zaidi Shia group, began as a rebellion against marginalization in the 1990s.

The conflict escalated in 2014 when the Houthis seized the capital, Sana’a, leading to the current civil war.

Saudi-Led Intervention (2015–Present):

A coalition led by Saudi Arabia launched a military intervention to restore the internationally recognized government, further devastating the country.

Al-Qaeda and ISIS:

Yemen has become a stronghold for extremist groups like Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and ISIS, complicating efforts to stabilize the state.

The region spanning from Syria on the Mediterranean to the Suez Canal, often referred to historically as the Levant and Egypt, has seen periods of peace and prosperity under various empires and administrations. One period particularly stands out:

The Roman and Byzantine Eras (c. 1st century BCE to 7th century CE)

• Pax Romana (27 BCE – 180 CE):
  During this time, much of the region, including modern-day Syria, Lebanon, Israel/Palestine, and Egypt, was under Roman rule. The stability brought by the Pax Romana allowed for:

  • Economic prosperity was driven by agriculture, trade, and crafts.

  • Infrastructure development, including roads, aqueducts, and cities like Antioch, Caesarea, and Alexandria.

  • Cultural flourishing with Hellenistic, Roman, and local traditions blending in cities and ports.

• Byzantine Era (4th–7th centuries): The Eastern Roman Empire administered the Levant and Egypt effectively, maintaining trade routes and integrating Christian institutions, which became central to local culture. Despite occasional conflicts, prosperity persisted in key cities like Constantinople, Antioch, and Alexandria.

The Umayyad Caliphate (661–750 CE)

• Centered in Damascus, Syria, the Umayyads oversaw one of the most peaceful and prosperous periods for the Levant and Egypt. Highlights include:

  • Trade networks linking the Mediterranean, the Arabian Peninsula, and Asia.

  • Flourishing arts and architecture, including the Great Mosque of Damascus.

  • Efficient administration and integration of diverse religious and cultural groups.

The Fatimid Caliphate (969–1171 CE)

• The Fatimids, based in Egypt, established a stable and prosperous empire that extended into the Levant.

  • Cairo became a major cultural, intellectual, and economic hub.

  • The Caliphate encouraged trade in the Mediterranean and Red Sea, boosting regional wealth.

  • Religious tolerance allowed for coexistence among Muslims, Christians, and Jews.

Key Features of Prosperity and Peace in These Periods:

1. Economic Stability: Agricultural productivity and flourishing trade routes, such as the Silk Road and maritime trade networks.

2. Cultural Exchange: A blend of Greek, Roman, Persian, and local cultures enriched the intellectual and artistic life.

3. Infrastructure: Advanced urban planning, aqueducts, and irrigation systems facilitated growth.

4. Religious Tolerance: Empires that fostered coexistence among diverse religious and ethnic groups experienced fewer internal conflicts.